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The Origins of World War I

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Exploring the initial expectations of a short World War I, this content delves into the offensive military doctrines, rigid mobilization plans, and the intricate diplomacy that led to war. It examines the roles of key figures like Moltke and Kitchener, and the historical debate over war guilt, highlighting the shared responsibility among European powers and Germany's significant influence.

The Widespread Belief in a Swift Resolution to World War I

At the onset of World War I, a prevalent sentiment among European leaders and the public was that the conflict would be short-lived, with many expecting a resolution "over by Christmas" of 1914. This belief in a swift war influenced the strategic decisions of the time, potentially leading to a greater willingness to engage in conflict. However, historical records reveal that key military and political figures, including German Generals Helmuth von Moltke and Erich Ludendorff, French General Joseph Joffre, and British Secretary of State for War Lord Kitchener, did anticipate the possibility of a protracted war. Moltke, in particular, expressed concerns about a long and destructive war, while British Foreign Secretary Sir Edward Grey lamented the lights going out across Europe, foreseeing a long struggle ahead.
Early 20th century uniformed soldiers board a steam train for World War I mobilization, with military tents in the background.

Offensive Military Doctrines and Mobilization Plans

The military strategies of the early 20th century favored offensive tactics, leading nations to develop war plans that emphasized the importance of striking first. These plans were closely linked to precise mobilization timetables, especially for the mass transport of troops and equipment by rail. The inflexibility of these schedules often hindered diplomatic negotiations, as any deviation from the plan was perceived as a strategic disadvantage. Historian A.J.P. Taylor has highlighted that once the process of mobilization was initiated, it was exceedingly difficult to reverse without causing chaos within the nation's military organization. Consequently, diplomatic efforts that occurred after mobilization had started were typically ineffective, contributing to the phenomenon of "war by timetable."

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00

At the beginning of ______, a common belief was that the hostilities would end quickly, possibly 'over by Christmas' of that year.

World War I

01

While many expected a brief war, ______ worried about a prolonged and devastating conflict, and ______ mourned the dimming of lights across Europe.

Moltke

Sir Edward Grey

02

Early 20th-century offensive emphasis

Military strategies favored striking first, shaping war plans around initial offensives.

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